As some states in America moved to open their economies from the pandemic lockdown, The New York Times reported that a government model predicted a dramatic increase in the death toll from COVID-19. The estimate that nearly 3,000 people would die per day by June __46__ by the modeler, who said the data was incomplete. __47__ the report came the same day that another modeling group sharply increased their forecast of how many would die of the disease. The new estimate of nearly 135,000 deaths by August is more than double what the group was predicting just three weeks ago. The group, at the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, __48__ advising the White House on COVID-19 policy. But it is __49__ the only group modeling the pandemic’s trajectory. Data analysis blog FiveThirtyEight.com highlights six major groups __50__ of death toll predictions vary by tens of thousands. Differences among their state-level forecasts are even more significant. A